Abstract: A method for a decision to make short-term and imminent earthquake prediction using fuzzy model discrimi-nation is given in this paper.On the basis of seismic disaster database and the research on seismic disaster prediction and scientific division of disaster degrees we can make a reasonable decision on short-term and imminent earthquake prediction.

Key words: Fuzzy function, Fuzzy identification, Short-impending prediction, Seismic disaster

摘要： 本文利用模糊模式识别方法提出了地震短临预报的决策方法,借助于震害数据库及震害预测方法的完善和灾度划分标准的科学化,我们可以通过该方法对是否作地震短临预报进行合理化的决策。

关键词: 模糊函数, 模式识别, 短临预报, 地震灾害