关键词: 汶川M_S 8.0地震, 地震预测, 地下流体异常, 宏观前兆异常

Abstract: Based on the analysis of fluid anomaly data and investigation of macro precursor of the M_S 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake,and having taken careful consideration of the difficulty and ability of predicting earthquake,we found that the failed prediction of the M_S 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake doesn't mean that earthquakes can't be predicted.There were,though not much in quantity,a certain amount of underground fluid anomalies and remarkable macro anomalies occurring before the earthquake.Though it is difficult to predict the earthquake basing on them,it is possible to be aware of the impending earthquake.To improve the ability of earthquake prediction,the paper proposes to innovate the present work and administrative systems,in which,earthquake monitoring,prediction and research are separate each other,and professional and local forces are separate each other,to change the present work state of computer-replacing-human brain and the work mode of the too early use of formality and standardization,and to attach greater importance to investigation and confirmation of precursory anomalies and to monitoring and studying macro anomalies.

Key words: M_S 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake, earthquake prediction, underground fluid anomaly, macro precursor anomaly